As of 5am Hawaii time today. Everybody think South
"Hurricane Flossie is not willing to give up. Despite hints that the hurricane might move over cooler ocean water temperatures...and that it would eventually encounter hostile vertical wind shear...it continues to maintain its intensity. The latest satellite intensity estimates from jtwc and SAB were 6.0...while hfo reported 5.5. The ADT at 1200 UTC is 6.2...which suggests a maximum sustained wind speed of 120 kt.
The latest track forecast is close to the previous advisory package. However...the forecast has been accelerated through 36 hours. The forecast intensity has also been increased based on the GFDL intensity guidance and persistence. Based on the current track forecast...intensity and radii...this will result in winds of tropical storm force reaching The Big Island by early afternoon Tuesday. Therefore a Hurricane Watch is now in effect for The Big
Island of Hawaii. Warnings may be required for The Big Island later today. This may take the form of a Tropical Storm Warning if the present track forecast appears to be verifying. At the moment...the islands from Maui County to Kauai County are not expected to require any types of watches. However...any significant deviation of the track toward the north might result in watches...or warnings...for additional areas in the Hawaiian islands.
I'd say your focked. J/K
Curious, when are you supposed to leave?